Triestina 3-1 Alessandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.05
6+ Goals
11%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alessandria EU Bookmakers 17%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.50/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.51
-13% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alessandria
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Alessandria Alessandria 0-3 HT 0-2 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
3-1
AWAY Alessandria
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Alessandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina beat Alessandria 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triestina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Triestina had 52% of the ball to Alessandria's 48%, shots finished 18-2.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Alessandria?

Triestina 3-1 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Alessandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Triestina 50%, draw 23%, Alessandria 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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