Universidad Chile 2-2 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.9pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.56
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.0 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cobresal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 4-3 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.05.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
05.11.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-4 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
23.08.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
19.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
29.05.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
2-2
AWAY Cobresal
0.87 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
474 Passes 212
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile and Cobresal couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 66% of the ball to Cobresal's 34%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 0.87 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.67 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Cobresal?

Universidad Chile 2-2 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 50%, draw 26%, Cobresal 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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