Avustralya U23 2-2 Güney Kore U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — West Asian Championship U23, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.96
No
66%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
47%
-12.9pp
66%
BTTS No
53%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Güney Kore U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.25 xG 1.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
402 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2020 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 AFCU23
17.01.2018 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 3-2 HT 2-0 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 AFCU23
POST-MATCH Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya U23 and Güney Kore U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Güney Kore U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Kore U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avustralya U23 and 2.50 for Güney Kore U23.

What was the final score of Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Avustralya U23 2-2 Güney Kore U23 in the West Asian Championship U23 on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avustralya U23 35%, draw 23%, Güney Kore U23 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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