Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Once Caldas v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas shaded a tight game against Alianza Petrolera 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Alianza Petrolera saw more of the ball, 73% to 27%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.29 to 2.15 — on chances, Alianza Petrolera could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Once Caldas against 1.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Result & Final Score
Once Caldas 1 - 0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 63%, draw 23%, Alianza Petrolera 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.