Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Once Caldas
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas squeezed past Alianza Petrolera 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Once Caldas had 27% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 73%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.29 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Petrolera.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Once Caldas and 1.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 51%, draw 26%, Alianza Petrolera 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.