Farense U23 5-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
45%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
44%
Away Win
31%
+13.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.33
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
03.10.2023 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
5-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 ran out comfortable winners over Portimonense U23 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 52% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 48%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Farense U23 5-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 33%, draw 22%, Portimonense U23 44%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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