Bulgaristan U17 1-2 Galler U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
26%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
35%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.1pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
12%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulgaristan U17 The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler U17 The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bulgaristan U17 vs Galler U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler U17 edged past Bulgaristan U17 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bulgaristan U17 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Bulgaristan U17 vs Galler U17?

Bulgaristan U17 1-2 Galler U17 in the European U17 Championship on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulgaristan U17 vs Galler U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bulgaristan U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan U17 53%, draw 21%, Galler U17 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bulgaristan U17), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bulgaristan U17) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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