Romanya U20 1-1 Polonya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 26 Mar 2024

📅26/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
19%
3.18
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
6%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
19%
Draw
28%
-8.6pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya U20 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U20 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya U20
1-1
AWAY Polonya U20
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Romanya U20 vs Polonya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U20 and Polonya U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonya U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Romanya U20 had 59% of the ball to Polonya U20's 41%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Romanya U20 vs Polonya U20?

Romanya U20 1-1 Polonya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya U20 vs Polonya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Romanya U20 37%, draw 19%, Polonya U20 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polonya U20), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonya U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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