Angostura FC 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Mar 2024

Angostura FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Academia Puerto Cabello
📅26/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Angostura FC v Academia Puerto Cabello — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +16%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.99
+8% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.7 Crosses 25.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
10.04.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN

Angostura FC 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-0
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
1.44 xG 0.93
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 14
183 Passes 299
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Angostura FC had 41% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 59%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.44 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angostura FC and 2.00 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Angostura FC 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 28%, draw 31%, Academia Puerto Cabello 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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