Heerenveen (K) 2-3 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 26 Mar 2025

Heerenveen (K)
2-3 HT 2-1
AZ (K)
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
37%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+13.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
37%
Away Win
54%
-16.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.00
-100% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
7.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1

Heerenveen (K) 2-3 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
2-3
AWAY AZ (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 1
347 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past Heerenveen (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; AZ (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 53% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 47%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 2-3 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 35%, draw 27%, AZ (K) 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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