Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3-0 Ergene Velimeşe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.7pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 25%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/1.01
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ergene Velimeşe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.11.2024 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor Tokat Bld Plevnespor S3-1
POST-MATCH Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Ergene Velimeşe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokat Bld Plevnespor swept aside Ergene Velimeşe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokat Bld Plevnespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Ergene Velimeşe?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3-0 Ergene Velimeşe in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Ergene Velimeşe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokat Bld Plevnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tokat Bld Plevnespor 48%, draw 34%, Ergene Velimeşe 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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