Muğlaspor 2-0 Fatsa Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatsa Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.21
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
419 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muğlaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fatsa Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.11.2024 Fatsa Belediyespor Fatsa Belediyespor 4-0 HT 2-0 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor S3-2
24.02.2019 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fatsa Belediyespor Fatsa Belediyespor S3-3
POST-MATCH Muğlaspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor got the better of Fatsa Belediyespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muğlaspor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fatsa Belediyespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Muğlaspor and 2.00 for Fatsa Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

Muğlaspor 2-0 Fatsa Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 58%, draw 23%, Fatsa Belediyespor 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muğlaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muğlaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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