Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 1-2 Alanya 1221 FSK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya 1221 FSK EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.67/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+40% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
1-2
AWAY Alanya 1221 FSK
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya 1221 FSK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya 1221 FSK nicked a narrow win over Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor had 51% of the ball to Alanya 1221 FSK's 49%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya 1221 FSK?

Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 1-2 Alanya 1221 FSK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor vs Alanya 1221 FSK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 41%, draw 30%, Alanya 1221 FSK 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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