Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 36%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.02/2.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.10
-12% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.02.2022 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S3-1
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor nicked a narrow win over Arnavutköy Belediye 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Erbaaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 37%, draw 22%, Arnavutköy Belediye 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Over 2.5
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