Aruba 4-1 Makao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Mar 2026

Aruba
4-1 HT 3-0
Makao
📅26/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.7pp
13%
Away Win
10%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Makao EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
4-1
AWAY Makao
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Makao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aruba ran out comfortable winners over Makao 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aruba as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aruba had 58% of the ball to Makao's 42%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Makao?

Aruba 4-1 Makao in the Friendlies on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Makao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aruba win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Aruba 68%, draw 18%, Makao 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aruba), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aruba) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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