Greenville Triumph 3-2 New York Cosmos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Cosmos EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
3-2
AWAY New York Cosmos
1.42 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Greenville Triumph vs New York Cosmos
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Greenville Triumph edged past New York Cosmos 3-2 in the USA - USL League 1 on 26 Mar 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 50% of the ball to New York Cosmos's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.42 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs New York Cosmos?

Greenville Triumph 3-2 New York Cosmos in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs New York Cosmos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 53%, draw 24%, New York Cosmos 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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