Queens Park Rangers 4-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Apr 2024

Queens Park Rangers
4-0 HT 2-0
Leeds United
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.16
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
9%
16.7
X/1
9%
10.35
X/2
22%
3.76
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.05
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queens Park Rangers v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.73
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
204 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
23.4 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park Rangers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leeds United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 2.07
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
185 Passes 364
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
18.01.2020 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
02.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 2-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
26.02.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
06.01.2019 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 2-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
08.12.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-1 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL

Queens Park Rangers 4-0 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queens Park Rangers
4-0
AWAY Leeds United
0.72 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
255 Passes 465
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers ran out comfortable winners over Leeds United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queens Park Rangers had 39% of the ball to Leeds United's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.72 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United?

Queens Park Rangers 4-0 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park Rangers vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Queens Park Rangers 27%, draw 26%, Leeds United 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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