Angelholm 1-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angelholm EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 61%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.84
+8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angelholm
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lunds BK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
26.05.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 0-2 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
14.10.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
01.08.2022 Angelholm Angelholm 3-1 HT 2-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angelholm
1-1
AWAY Lunds BK
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angelholm vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angelholm and Lunds BK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lunds BK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angelholm had 49% of the ball to Lunds BK's 51%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Angelholm had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Angelholm and 1.25 for Lunds BK.

What was the final score of Angelholm vs Lunds BK?

Angelholm 1-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angelholm vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Angelholm 27%, draw 25%, Lunds BK 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✗ Over 2.5
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