Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 26 Apr 2024

Real Sociedad
0-1 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.39
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
12%
5.96
X/X
15%
3.99
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.64
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.44
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.1 Crosses 13.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
379 Passes 488
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
02.05.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
29.01.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
05.03.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
04.12.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
01.03.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid
0.59 xG 0.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
453 Passes 347
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid edged past Real Sociedad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 56% of the ball to Real Madrid's 44%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.59 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?

Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 35%, draw 33%, Real Madrid 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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