FC Andorra 1-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.49
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 34% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
14%
7.12
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.0
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.20
-28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.8 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Racing Santander
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.84
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
609 Passes 174
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
25.02.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
05.11.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
1-1
AWAY Racing Santander
1.42 xG 1.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
359 Passes 392
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra and Racing Santander shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Andorra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Andorra had 49% of the ball to Racing Santander's 51%, shots finished 23-17, expected goals 1.42 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Andorra and 1.67 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Racing Santander?

FC Andorra 1-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 44%, draw 25%, Racing Santander 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Andorra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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