Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.81
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.95
X/1
24%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
8%
6.42
2/1
9%
21.15
2/2
8%
9.43
2/X
7%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 17%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +5%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.58
-100% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
Crosses 14.5
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTA
05.04.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
18.12.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
29.02.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
06.10.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
17.03.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
3-0
AWAY Salernitana
1.70 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
254 Passes 381
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone swept aside Salernitana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Frosinone had 43% of the ball to Salernitana's 57%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.70 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Frosinone and 0.50 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Salernitana?

Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie A on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 53%, draw 24%, Salernitana 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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