Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2024

Bochum
3-2 HT 2-0
Hoffenheim
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.62
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.83
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.22
X/2
9%
6.83
X/X
13%
6.0
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.22 — our 23% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.29/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.67
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.1 Crosses 17.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bochum vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.17 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
04.02.2023 Bochum Bochum 5-2 HT 3-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
13.08.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-2 HT 2-2 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.04.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
06.11.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
13.02.2010 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1

Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
3-2
AWAY Hoffenheim
3.31 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
36 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
230 Passes 301
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
58 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum edged past Hoffenheim 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bochum as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bochum had 45% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 55%, shots finished 36-10, expected goals 3.31 to 1.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bochum's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bochum and 1.67 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Hoffenheim?

Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bochum 44%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bochum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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