Al Nasr 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 26 Apr 2024

Al Nasr
2-2 HT 1-2
Al Ittihad Kalba
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Al Ittihad Kalba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.02
+4% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.8 Crosses 17.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
02.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
29.10.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-3 HT 1-3 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
22.04.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
29.01.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
28.10.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr and Al Ittihad Kalba shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nasr and 1.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Nasr 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 40%, draw 27%, Al Ittihad Kalba 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ BTTS Yes
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