El Bayadh 1-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.27
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.03/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.55
-29% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
2W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
25.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
09.09.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Bayadh
1-0
AWAY USM Khenchela
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh squeezed past USM Khenchela 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Bayadh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Bayadh had 47% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 53%, shots finished 2-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, El Bayadh had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Bayadh and 0.67 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

El Bayadh 1-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 51%, draw 28%, USM Khenchela 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Bayadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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