Lyngby 1-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Apr 2024

Lyngby
1-1 HT 1-0
Vejle
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.67
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.31
X/2
18%
5.65
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
7%
4.01
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.60/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.24
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.6 Crosses 22.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vejle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
22.09.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
24.05.2021 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
20.12.2020 Lyngby Lyngby 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
18.10.2020 Vejle Vejle 3-2 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
22.06.2018 Lyngby Lyngby 4-2 HT 1-2 Vejle Vejle HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-1
AWAY Vejle
0.67 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 212
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby and Vejle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Lyngby had 55% of the ball to Vejle's 45%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.67 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lyngby and 1.50 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Vejle?

Lyngby 1-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 39%, draw 29%, Vejle 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyngby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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