26/04/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
23%
Draw
22%
30%
Away Win
19%
45%
Under 2.5
42%
55%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
46%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JJK Jyvaskyla v EPS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
JJK Jyvaskyla
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
EPS
EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-1%
/
+5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
17
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
5
342 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
JJK Jyvaskyla saw off EPS 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JJK Jyvaskyla as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS?
JJK Jyvaskyla 3-1 EPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JJK Jyvaskyla vs EPS?
Before kick-off our model rated a JJK Jyvaskyla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split JJK Jyvaskyla 47%, draw 23%, EPS 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (JJK Jyvaskyla)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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