MyPa 3-1 Reipas Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 26 Apr 2024

MyPa
3-1 HT 0-1
Reipas Lahti
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Finland - Kakkonen – 2024

MyPa vs Reipas Lahti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MyPa v Reipas Lahti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MyPa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Reipas Lahti EU Bookmakers 66%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.48
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

MyPa vs Reipas Lahti Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MyPa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Reipas Lahti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2021 MyPa MyPa 2-1 HT 1-0 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti FİNKAK
04.06.2021 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti 3-2 HT 2-0 MyPa MyPa FİNKAK
POST-MATCH MyPa vs Reipas Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MyPa saw off Reipas Lahti 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reipas Lahti at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MyPa and 2.00 for Reipas Lahti.

What was the final score of MyPa vs Reipas Lahti?

MyPa 3-1 Reipas Lahti in the Finland - Kakkonen on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MyPa vs Reipas Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reipas Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MyPa 23%, draw 23%, Reipas Lahti 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Reipas Lahti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reipas Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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