Inter Turku 2-1 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.9
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
10%
12.05
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
9%
9.99
2/X
6%
18.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.89/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.12
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
4W-0D-0L
AWAY EIF
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2024 EIF EIF 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
03.04.2018 EIF EIF 0-5 HT 0-4 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİK
19.01.2018 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİK
27.01.2017 Inter Turku Inter Turku 5-0 HT 2-0 EIF EIF FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-1
AWAY EIF
3.20 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
517 Passes 212
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku nicked a narrow win over EIF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 66% of the ball to EIF's 34%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.20 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Turku's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Inter Turku and 0.25 for EIF.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs EIF?

Inter Turku 2-1 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 53%, draw 22%, EIF 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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