26/04/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Pretoria Callies vs Upington City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
35%
Draw
29%
32%
Away Win
32%
67%
Under 2.5
60%
33%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
60%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pretoria Callies v Upington City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pretoria Callies
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Upington City
EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
0.76/0.63
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/1.36
-42%
/
+41%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
-15%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
244 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
Pretoria Callies vs Upington City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Pretoria Callies
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Upington City
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
07.10.2023
Upington City
1-1
HT 0-0
Pretoria Callies
GAF1
1-1
HT 0-0
Pretoria Callies
GAF1
POST-MATCH
Pretoria Callies vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pretoria Callies and Upington City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Upington City?
Pretoria Callies 1-1 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Upington City?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 33%, draw 35%, Upington City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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GAF1
More South Afrika - 1st Division
26 Apr 2024