Rezekne / BJSS 1-0 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

Rezekne / BJSS
1-0 HT 1-0
Valmiera II
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Rezekne / BJSS vs Valmiera II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
25%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Valmiera II win — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
57%
Away Win
70%
-13.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rezekne / BJSS v Valmiera II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.14/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +89%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rezekne / BJSS vs Valmiera II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rezekne / BJSS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valmiera II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 3-1 HT 1-0 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS LET1
POST-MATCH Rezekne / BJSS vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rezekne / BJSS squeezed past Valmiera II 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Valmiera II carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Valmiera II?

Rezekne / BJSS 1-0 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 21%, draw 23%, Valmiera II 57%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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