Metta / LU Riga 1-3 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Apr 2024

Metta / LU Riga
1-3 HT 0-2
Auda
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Metta / LU Riga vs Auda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
44%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.68
Over 2.5
32%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
44%
Away Win
64%
-19.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+12.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-12.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metta / LU Riga v Auda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 69%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.15/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
+35% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
17.3 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Metta / LU Riga vs Auda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Auda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.05.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
18.03.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
10.09.2022 Auda Auda 2-1 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
27.06.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 3-0 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET

Metta / LU Riga 1-3 Auda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-3
AWAY Auda
0.64 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
319 Passes 534
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda got the better of Metta / LU Riga 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 41% of the ball to Auda's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.64 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.83 for Auda.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Metta / LU Riga 1-3 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 27%, draw 29%, Auda 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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