Pogon Siedlce 0-3 Radunia Stezyca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radunia Stezyca EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0-3
AWAY Radunia Stezyca
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Radunia Stezyca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radunia Stezyca swept aside Pogon Siedlce 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Siedlce at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 65% of the ball to Radunia Stezyca's 35%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Radunia Stezyca?

Pogon Siedlce 0-3 Radunia Stezyca in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Radunia Stezyca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 46%, draw 26%, Radunia Stezyca 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
26 Apr 2024
20:30 Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz Analysis →