Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

Gil Vicente
2-2 HT 0-0
Arouca
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Gil Vicente vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.29
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
8%
5.27
X/2
13%
6.06
X/X
14%
4.93
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v Arouca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arouca EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.41/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.25
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.7 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gil Vicente vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Arouca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 0.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
398 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Arouca Arouca 3-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.02.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-1 Arouca Arouca POR
08.11.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-4 HT 1-2 Arouca Arouca POK
15.08.2022 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.04.2022 Arouca Arouca 2-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.11.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-1 Arouca Arouca POR

Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
2-2
AWAY Arouca
1.15 xG 2.04
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
235 Passes 538
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Arouca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente and Arouca shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arouca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 33% of the ball to Arouca's 67%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.15 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente and 2.00 for Arouca.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Arouca?

Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Arouca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arouca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 30%, draw 29%, Arouca 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arouca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arouca) ✓ BTTS Yes
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