Cukaricki Stankom 4-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.1pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.8pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.86/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.27
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.3 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.39 xG 0.55
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 229
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.12.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
01.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
01.09.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-1 HT 2-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
19.02.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
12.09.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
4-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.88 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
483 Passes 284
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom swept aside Mladost Lucani 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 61% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 39%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.88 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 0.33 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Mladost Lucani?

Cukaricki Stankom 4-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 55%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
26 Apr 2024
18:00 Vozdovac vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →