Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 26 Apr 2024

Zemplin Michalovce
2-0 HT 0-0
Dukla Banska Bystrica
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.2pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zemplin Michalovce v Dukla Banska Bystrica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.97/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.08
-31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.1 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.16 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.11.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 2-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.08.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-3 HT 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
01.10.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
15.07.2022 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK

Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
2-0
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
2.29 xG 0.49
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
233 Passes 459
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce saw off Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dukla Banska Bystrica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 38% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 62%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.29 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 1.80 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 34%, draw 23%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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