Ilirija 2-0 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
44%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+14.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
44%
Away Win
61%
-17.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 66%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+87% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
08.10.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
2-0
AWAY Tabor Sezana
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija beat Tabor Sezana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tabor Sezana at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ilirija had 44% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 56%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana?

Ilirija 2-0 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tabor Sezana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 32%, draw 24%, Tabor Sezana 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tabor Sezana) ✗ Over 2.5
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