Adana Demirspor 0-3 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Apr 2024

Adana Demirspor
0-3 HT 0-0
Galatasaray
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.92
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.62
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.2
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
8%
12.8
X/2
17%
3.94
X/X
11%
7.36
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.77
2/X
8%
16.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.2 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-9.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adana Demirspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
– Crosses 20.3
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.73 xG 2.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
271 Passes 401
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 2-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
01.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
10.12.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor HAZ
01.10.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.05.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
21.12.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Adana Demirspor 0-3 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-3
AWAY Galatasaray
0.82 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
245 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 58
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray swept aside Adana Demirspor 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 40% of the ball to Galatasaray's 60%, shots finished 18-25, expected goals 0.82 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray?

Adana Demirspor 0-3 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 23%, draw 23%, Galatasaray 54%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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