Biel-Bienne 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.49
Away Pick
54%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Young Boys win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
54%
Away Win
67%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biel-Bienne EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 71%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.46/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.77
-55% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Biel-Bienne
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Young Boys
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
18.08.2018 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 2-2 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
08.07.2015 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne 3-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys HAZ
03.02.2015 Young Boys Young Boys 1-3 HT 1-2 Biel-Bienne Biel-Bienne HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biel-Bienne
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.35 xG 2.19
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
200 Passes 606
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 49
12 Crosses 52
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Biel-Bienne vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biel-Bienne edged past Young Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Young Boys at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Biel-Bienne had 29% of the ball to Young Boys's 71%, shots finished 13-31, expected goals 1.35 to 2.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Young Boys.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Biel-Bienne had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Biel-Bienne and 1.00 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Biel-Bienne vs Young Boys?

Biel-Bienne 1-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biel-Bienne vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Biel-Bienne 21%, draw 25%, Young Boys 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →