St George City FA 1-0 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
Over Pick
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.1pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.81
+28% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.51 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 8
206 Passes 349
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 5-0 HT 3-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
14.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 6-1 HT 5-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
03.06.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 1-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
18.02.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 4-2 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA edged past Western Sydney W. II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St George City FA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for St George City FA and 2.25 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Western Sydney W. II?

St George City FA 1-0 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 55%, draw 17%, Western Sydney W. II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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