Al Hamriyah 3-2 Masfut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Masfut EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.58/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.26
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Masfut
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Masfut Masfut 1-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
23.03.2024 Masfut Masfut 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
06.11.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 2-1 HT 0-1 Masfut Masfut BAE2
06.02.2023 Masfut Masfut 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
24.09.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 4-1 HT 0-1 Masfut Masfut BAE2
06.03.2022 Masfut Masfut 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
3-2
AWAY Masfut
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Masfut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah squeezed past Masfut 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hamriyah as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 54% of the ball to Masfut's 46%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Hamriyah and 0.67 for Masfut.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Masfut?

Al Hamriyah 3-2 Masfut in the UAE - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Masfut?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 42%, draw 27%, Masfut 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hamriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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