Roskilde 2-1 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 36% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.24
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
7.04
X/2
15%
4.8
X/X
12%
4.76
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.9
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · X/1 at 7.04 — our 21% vs market 10.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.08/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.77
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.1 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 329
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
09.03.2025 Roskilde Roskilde 3-1 HT 2-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.07.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
01.07.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 1-3 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
01.03.2020 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
18.08.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 2-0 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
2-1
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.79 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
315 Passes 433
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde squeezed past Vendsyssel FF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Roskilde made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 44% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.79 to 0.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roskilde's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roskilde and 1.50 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Vendsyssel FF?

Roskilde 2-1 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vendsyssel FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 36%, draw 26%, Vendsyssel FF 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vendsyssel FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
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