PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over Pick
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.31/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.46
-8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barito Putera
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.12.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 0-3 HT 0-0 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSBS Biak Numfor vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSBS Biak Numfor nicked a narrow win over Barito Putera 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSBS Biak Numfor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of PSBS Biak Numfor vs Barito Putera?

PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSBS Biak Numfor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSBS Biak Numfor 47%, draw 24%, Barito Putera 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor)
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