Esteghlal FC 1-0 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.11
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
30%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
61%
-18.5pp
37%
Draw
26%
+11.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
1.35/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
472 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.02.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC IRANK
11.03.2021 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal FC Esteghlal FC IRANK
POST-MATCH Esteghlal FC vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal FC squeezed past Paykan Qazvin 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Esteghlal FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal FC and 0.50 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal FC vs Paykan Qazvin?

Esteghlal FC 1-0 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal FC vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal FC 43%, draw 37%, Paykan Qazvin 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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