Envigado 2-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Apr 2025

Envigado
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Envigado vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.22/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.84
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
15.6 Crosses 12.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Envigado vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.68 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.08.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.02.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
06.08.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
12.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
14.10.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
22.04.2019 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Envigado 2-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
2-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
0.88 xG 0.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
240 Passes 252
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Union Magdalena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Envigado as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Envigado had 48% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.88 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Magdalena led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.17 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Envigado 2-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Envigado 41%, draw 32%, Union Magdalena 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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