Rigas Skola 0-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.72/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.77
-35% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
8.0 Crosses 25.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Riga FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
251 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
25.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
16.06.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-2 HT 1-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
27.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
25.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
16.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 0-0 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
0-1
AWAY Riga FC
0.19 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
259 Passes 211
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
4 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 27
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC nicked a narrow win over Rigas Skola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Riga FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 53% of the ball to Riga FC's 47%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.19 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 1.00 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Riga FC?

Rigas Skola 0-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 31%, draw 30%, Riga FC 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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