Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.6pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.92/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.62
-37% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-3 HT 0-2 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
09.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
15.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-3 HT 1-3 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
14.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
04.11.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 HT 1-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
11.08.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FA Siauliai as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 2.00 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 30%, draw 21%, FA Siauliai 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA Siauliai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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