Staal Jorpeland 1-5 Djerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.22
No
38%
3.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
78%
-15.8pp
38%
BTTS No
22%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Djerv EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.61/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.46
-21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Staal Jorpeland
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Djerv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2023 Djerv 5-2 HT 2-1 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
21.04.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 1-3 HT 0-0 Djerv NOR4
25.09.2021 Djerv 1-2 HT 1-1 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Staal Jorpeland
1-5
AWAY Djerv
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Staal Jorpeland vs Djerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djerv cruised past Staal Jorpeland 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Staal Jorpeland at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Staal Jorpeland had 38% of the ball to Djerv's 62%, shots finished 7-25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Djerv led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Staal Jorpeland and 3.00 for Djerv.

What was the final score of Staal Jorpeland vs Djerv?

Staal Jorpeland 1-5 Djerv in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Staal Jorpeland vs Djerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Staal Jorpeland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Staal Jorpeland 44%, draw 19%, Djerv 37%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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