Ayacucho FC 0-2 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.24/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.39
-25% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
26.9 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayacucho FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
218 Passes 241
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
01.05.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
21.09.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
16.06.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PERKB
15.04.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
19.11.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayacucho FC
0-2
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.11 xG 1.22
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
330 Passes 69
84% Pass Accuracy 54%
19 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico got the better of Ayacucho FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ayacucho FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 75% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 25%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.11 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayacucho FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayacucho FC and 0.50 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Ayacucho FC 0-2 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 42%, draw 30%, Alianza Atletico 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayacucho FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayacucho FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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