Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 32% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.90
+30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
12.7 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Cluj
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
05.02.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
22.09.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
26.05.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
09.02.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 2-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
23.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Cluj
2-1
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.55 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
272 Passes 240
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 24
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitatea Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Cluj edged past Universitatea Craiova 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Universitatea Cluj found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universitatea Cluj had 53% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 47%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.55 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Universitatea Cluj and 1.50 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Universitatea Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Cluj 35%, draw 29%, Universitatea Craiova 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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26 Apr 2025
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