Ergene Velimeşe 2-1 Kahramanmaraşspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahramanmaraşspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.99/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.79
-32% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ergene Velimeşe
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Kahramanmaraşspor
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-1
04.12.2022 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
12.12.2021 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 2-2 HT 2-0 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor S2-K
23.12.2020 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 1-0 HT 0-0 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor S2-B
15.12.2019 Kahramanmaraşspor Kahramanmaraşspor 0-4 HT 0-2 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S2-K
POST-MATCH Ergene Velimeşe vs Kahramanmaraşspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ergene Velimeşe edged past Kahramanmaraşspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ergene Velimeşe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ergene Velimeşe had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ergene Velimeşe and 0.80 for Kahramanmaraşspor.

What was the final score of Ergene Velimeşe vs Kahramanmaraşspor?

Ergene Velimeşe 2-1 Kahramanmaraşspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergene Velimeşe vs Kahramanmaraşspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ergene Velimeşe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ergene Velimeşe 41%, draw 32%, Kahramanmaraşspor 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ergene Velimeşe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ergene Velimeşe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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