Turgutluspor 0-3 Bergama Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
37%
3.8
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
48%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.1pp
38%
Draw
23%
+14.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.50/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.77
+5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turgutluspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Bergama Belediyespor Bergama Belediyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Turgutluspor
0-3
AWAY Bergama Belediyespor
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Turgutluspor vs Bergama Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergama Belediyespor cruised past Turgutluspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 38% / 25% — and on the day Bergama Belediyespor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Turgutluspor had 53% of the ball to Bergama Belediyespor's 47%, shots finished 22-14.

What was the final score of Turgutluspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Turgutluspor 0-3 Bergama Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turgutluspor vs Bergama Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turgutluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Turgutluspor 38%, draw 38%, Bergama Belediyespor 25%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/25) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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